The course of the geopolitical situation and China-US tension might be highly influenced by the upcoming US election in November. This scenario increases the likelihood of geopolitical turbulence stemming from the domestic interest of the US that is projected towards China and the world. On the other hand, the situation is worsened by the ongoing tension in the Middle East, Ukraine (to which a separate session of the Global Town Hall is devoted), and the unsolved South China Sea with mounting concerns and political unrest.

Traditionally, major powers such as the U.S. and China have always tried to influence and mark their presence, but this is no longer the case. The emerging trend shows a declining trust towards those major powers and gives more relevance to the alternative middle power countries such as Indonesia, Brazil, India, and Turkiye, both individually as within collectives multilateralism such as BRICS+, that are gaining momentum and playing a more prominent role in providing solutions for the deadlock situation.

These dynamics suggest an inevitable geopolitical turbulence that will be felt by countries across the globe. As major powers like the United States and China intensify their rivalry, and middle powers assert their influence, the global order is becoming increasingly unpredictable. This session will try to examine all possible scenarios of tension and potential instability, and how countries can strategically adopt measures and approaches while remaining vigilant to shifts in power dynamics. In this session, the audience will gain a deeper understanding of the complex interplay between major and middle powers in the current geopolitical landscape.